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New Thinks's avatar

"If Democrats want to win this war..."

start by not calling it a war. War is not about listening and negotiation. War mentality has been the problem for democrats.

One thing I have noticed is the Dems is difficulty in adjusting their policies in response to failure. They always fall back to better messaging. Or get louder. Or stop the other side from talking. Or just do the same thing, but even harder. But never a re-evaluation of the best method for achieving their goals. And their goals are often laudable.

"championing causes that signal virtue." I think there is more to it than that - focus on problems that can't or won't ever be solved. There is no desire, seemingly, to address any potentially solvable problems. In fact, those problems get sidelined to focus on insoluble problems, where performance can't be measured. Climate change is a wonderful, and all-consuming issue, because you can spend and spend on it, talk and talk about it, and no one actually expects or can measure any tangible results.

Climate change - if reducing emissions meant reducing power costs, would any of this have to be mandated or subsidized? The program would be self-implementing. So instead of mandating and subsidizing, maybe we should be looking at how to make clean energy cheaper?

Just an example, there is a long-standing principle in economics known as Wright's law. The law says that each doubling of production reduces costs by about 20%. So, building one, bespoke thing costs X, building 2 costs 0.80X each, building 4 costs 0.64X each, and so on. Building just eight of something reduces your unit costs to about half. You gain a LOT of savings by building in bulk.

Terra power is building a nuclear power plant in Wyoming. If we built 2, each would be 20% cheaper. If we built 8, they'd be half price. That would be 2,760 MW of power, capable of surging to 4,000 MW. The first plant is $4 billion, building 8 would get you to $2 billion per unit. $16 billion for the entire installation. It's a lot, but then again, it isn't that much - it would have to be paid back over the 80-year lifetime of the reactors. Such a system would support wind and solar with huge amounts of inertia and load following.

But, to do this, Dems would have to confront the antinuclear wing of their own party. They would have to admit that costs and reliability are important. That wind and solar cannot and will not get the job done. It would require an... adjustment in thinking.

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