I started thinking of this after my interview of Senator Simpson. What should the state be focused on improving?
First off, there are a number of government responsibilities I think we’re handling well. Yes they could be better. Yes they face funding shortfalls. But I would give them all an A or B. Stay on top of them, keep improving them, but we’re in decent shape. Or better.
Transportation - We’ve pretty much got all the roads we need. While we could use a light rail extension up to Boulder, the bigger problem is we need more people using it. Which is in large part a zoning issue.
Higher Ed - We’ve got a good University system from C.U. to the Community Colleges.
K12 - These could be better but… for all the experiments and trials and studies no one seems to know what needs to be done to significantly improve K12.1 So I give K12 a C and we should, like the rest of the country, keep trying to improve. But there is nothing we know will help.
Public Safety - It’s like the dog that didn’t bark - you rarely hear of issues here. And when the police get something wrong, it hits the news.2
Elections & Redistricting - We get an A on this. I’d prefer we passed the IRV initiative, but it wasn’t the year for that idea.
And again, I’m not saying the above are all perfect. I’m saying life is full of trade-offs and we need to focus on those items that are a big problem and where there are steps we can take to alleviate them. If everything is a priority, nothing is a priority.
So here’s our big, improvable problems, in priority order:
Water - This is by far the biggest constraint on our state. We have five major and four smaller river basins in the state.3 And all are oversubscribed. By a lot. We’ve implemented most every thing we can do to reduce usage. And even with free energy, desalinization and piping water has its limits.4 At a minimum we’ll see farming & ranching reduced as the cities can pay more for water. This will increase in importance year after year.
Power & Decarbonization - We’re are also rapidly approaching power shortages. And the quick fix of more gas generators is not that quick as there is a multi-year backlog for the generators and the giant transformers they need. We also face the possibility of the state going in a brain dead direction making the problem worse.5 Unlike water this is very addressable, if we make the right choices.
Healthcare - Senator Simpson’s interview was an eye-opener on this. The state used 500M of COVID funds to address behavioral health issues. And it’s not clear it moved the needle. If we can improve this it means happier longer lives for citizens, more productive companies, less crime, … the list goes on and on.
And like everywhere, we face the standard problems of rural hospitals closing, shortages of medical professionals in the urban core and rural areas, etc.
On the good news side, this is an industry where A.I. is already providing better care at a reduced cost. We need to make maximum use of this. And we need to get aggressive on figuring out what works (do more) and what does not (stop spending).Housing - If we have fewer bedrooms than we have people in an area - we will have homelessness. That’s simple math. Most cities desperately want to stop increased housing density. If they succeed, we will continue to make homes less and less affordable and both drive people to move elsewhere and increase homelessness.
The state government, to its credit, has taken steps on this. What we really need is for city governments to, if not embrace, at least accept this need and address it. They don’t need to put a 30 story apartment complex in the middle of a tract of homes. But they do need to thoughtfully figure out where they can zone higher density residential.6Safe Public Spaces - We have many public spaces that have been overrun by the homeless and drug addicted. There are many places where moms will no longer take their kids.7 This is a giant problem because citizens view the #1 job of the state is to provide safety. Every time someone sees places they no longer feel safe going to, they feel the government is not fulfilling this basic duty.
Think about it. If we significantly addressed the above 5 issues, the people of the state would view this as a giant success. And they would view the government as an entity making their lives significantly better.8
In addition, money is not a giant factor here.9 This is in some cases implementing what we know will work. In other cases it means we first have to figure out what will improve things, and then try it.
For those that disagree with me, what would you set as the 5 (or fewer) issues the state should focus on? Not add to, but replace because if everything is a priority, nothing is.10
I will likely get a ton of comments disagreeing saying all we have to do is X. The thing is, each comment will have a different X with no proof that it will work on a wide scale.
And like my comment on K12, this will likely get some strong disagreements. Although for public safety, they might tend to be items that have a proven track record.
For the Colorado River we could put a nuclear plant and desalinization plant in Los Angeles, give them that water, and then take more from the Colorado River. But the same trick won’t work for the other rivers because of where they go.
As an example, Boulder could allow higher housing East of 30th and North of Arapahoe.
Example - the Boulder Creek path
Maybe view government so positively, they’ll vote to eliminate TABOR.
For water, significant increases may require a giant spend. But for the rest, money is not the biggest issue.
One time I interviewed Governor Ritter and asked him for hist top 3 priorities. He answered “jobs, jobs, jobs.” His point was that with unemployment up, that needed to be the singular focus of the state.
Your list:
Water - Power & Decarbonization - Healthcare - Housing - Safe Public Spaces
Water is certainly a perceived problem -- but there are a wide variety of choices to be made. Frankly, if we still have grass lawns in the cities and wasteful irrigation processes, I don't think access to water is one of the top 5.
Healthcare is certainly a problem and will be a much, MUCH larger problem if the Federal government follows through on the House's instructions to cut Medicaid and Medicare.
Safe Public Spaces is another perceived problem. Similar to what you write about K12 education, we know problems exist, but don't know what to do about them or THINK we know but can't gather a consensus to take action(s).
I'd drop one of those three and add the problem I think is quite pressing -- we do not have adequate methods or places for communication to develop a consensus on major issues. The problem happens at virtually every level. Institutionally, we have lost common media outlets in vast areas of the state and those that remain do not have the credibility or audience to advance a common agenda. Individually, people are spending increasing amounts of time on their screens - with individualized choices and algorithms designed to increase engagement by the individual, but little ability to develop cooperation among individuals. Robert Putnam has spent the last 30 years talking about "Bowling Alone" -- a loss of community organizations that had been so prevalent in the first half of the 20th Century. I'd add that even those organizations we DO see have tended toward internal agreement and may even add to the polarization and alienation from other portions of the population.
I can address #1 and #2 pretty easily. 40% of freshwater withdrawals go to powerplants. Using the numbers I have handy, U.S. water use was approximately 322B gal/d, 87% of which was freshwater. Thermoelectric power plant cooling (133B gal/d) and irrigation (118B gal/d) were the largest withdrawals. Though 41% of daily water use is for power plant cooling, only 3% of these withdrawals are consumptive.
Consume less water in power plants, then you'll have more water for everything else. Converting existing power plants to supercrtical carbon dioxide systems would hugely reduce these freshwater withdrawls and allow for 97% carbon capture. SCDS systems actually make fresh water. Oh, and reduce power costs.
Healthcare I'd start building an endowment-based health care system. Just endow charity hospitals that would provide low cost, or free health care. Over time, medical cost would start to decline.
Japanese solve housing by using a zoning pyramid - all land is zoned for housing. Funny thing - people building huge apartment complexes want to build them NEAR amenities and public transport. That is the type of renters they are hoping to attract. We just don't have to regulate this to the degree we have been regulating it. Zoning is bonkers in the U.S.
Lastly - arrest the homeless, especially if they are public nuisances. In Switzerland it is illegal to be homeless. Arrested doesn't need to be something bad. It can just mean some of your rights are abrogated. If they are mentally ill, they go to a mental hospital - no discussion. Drug addict - treatment. Just plain homeless- we work to find them shelter and we make them use it. It's not complicated. You just don't make being homeless an option anymore. The cruelest thing I can imagine is letting people live on the streets.