First off, while of no import, it’s important to say - I was so wrong. I thought we Dems would get our asses handed to us in the election and we held most everything. On the plus side, I am so so so SO VERY HAPPY to be wrong.
So how’s it looking the next morning? Here in Colorado it’s beautiful. Dems took every state wide seat, we look to take CO-3 (Boebert) and CO-8, and we look to take every competitive state senate seat. Colorado can now be declared solid blue.
Nationally it looks like the only winnable seats we lost in the Senate are Wisconsin & Nevada. And the only winnable seat we lost for Governor is Nevada. And as of the next morning the Republicans will likely win the House, but it’s not sure yet.
So in a race where inflation was top of mind, the Democratic President was at record low levels of popularity, and the voters are clearly very unhappy - the Republicans gained… basically nothing. The Republican wave turned out to be a ripple.
What Happened?
I think unquestionably the reason for the Democrats holding the line in these headwinds came down to a combination of three things: Abortion, Retaining Democracy, & The Republicans clearly had no plan for governing other than investigations and tearing things down.
What’s really interesting is that the loud election deniers in competitive races tended to lose by significant margins. I think the argument of retaining our Democracy worked. It might have been 3rd for most people in their list of concerns, but when it came time to mark the ballot, it jumped to 1st.
But in truth, it’s a little different for each voter. I think quite a few might have been turned off by the Republicans making it clear their main focus was going to be investigations. Those might make a lot of people feel better, but they don’t do squat to resolve the issues in front of us. Democratic efforts to improve things, though imperfect, are making a positive difference.
Anyways, it’ll be a couple of days for all of the races to be called and for us to find out who controls the House. And it may be a run-off (again) in Georgia to decide who controls the Senate.
But all in all, an incredibly good night compared to what was expected.
And in Blue Hawaii, right winger lost bid for open State House seat. Yes, Republican wave was a ripple here too. Aloha is alive and well.